Speech - John McCain

Screenshot of FOX NEWS video.

SMELL Test


Source In Senator John McCain’s reaction to President Obama’s September 9th, 2014 speech on ISIS, he gave himself creditability by stating that he and Senator Lindsey Graham had been to Baghdad previously. He also gives credit General David Howell Petraeus, Ambassador Ryan Crocker, and brave American men and woman. He credited them multiple times in context of the Iraq war. He did this very carefully, to only give credit to those people that he supported. He also wanted to give the view that he was knowledgeable about the officials behind the Iraq war.

Motive – The title of this video gives the motive Senator John McCain has. “Sen. John McCain reacts to President Obama's address”, he was asked by Fox News to comment and give insight and commentary on President Obama’s ISIS strategy. It also seems that he attempts to harm the President’s creditability by undermining his strategy and commenting on “failures” by the president.

Evidence – Senator John McCain attempts to use his political past, and political position now to validate his points. Although he gave credit to General David Howell Petraeus, Ambassador Ryan Crocker, and brave American men and woman, he didn’t ever validate any of his points with outside sources.

Logic – The way he gives credit to the officials behind the Iraq war as well as the men and woman of the U.S. military was effective. It gave a way for Sen. John McCain to establish his argument while giving a small amount of validity to his points. He also tells the audience that he and Senator Lindsey Graham had been to Baghdad before. This shows the audience that he has a level of knowledgeability about the Iraq war. This adds to his overall arguments of President Obama’s strategy.

Left Out – Had Senator John McCain used a creditable outside source to verify his points about ISIS and President Obama, it would have given his arguments a sense of validity.


John McCain Fact Check



Fact #1: Sen. McCain - “On Twitter, and Facebook, they are urging people to come across our borders and attack the United States of America.” ("Sen. John McCain reacts...,"2014)


True – ISIS/ISIL does have a sophisticated and very efficient social media campaign that began in late 2013. “The coordinated campaign has featured what appears to be disciplined, from-the-top-down message control designed to simulate organic grass-roots activity. Complete with an app and highly orchestrated hashtag pushes, the group's social media strategy mirrors that of a marketing company building buzz around a new product.” "This is a combination of an extremely ambitious military campaign with an extremely ambitious PR campaign. Social media is most of that PR campaign." (Trowbridge, A., 2014)


Yes, they even have an app, “ISIS has developed a Twitter app for Android phones called The Dawn of Glad Tidings, Berger said. It offers users news and information about ISIS. When users sign up, they give ISIS permission to send tweets through their own personal accounts.”(Trowbridge, A., 2014)  The app syncs to your Twitter account, but your Twitter behaves just as it would normally. But periodically the app will use your Twitter account to broadcast ISIS/ISIL message through pre-approved trending hashtags. As the terror group sieged the Iraqi city of Mosul, it reached almost 40,000 tweets. The Social Campaign gives ISIS/ISIL many different advantages. “The social offensive -- with its gruesome photos purportedly showing mass executions of Iraqi soldiers -- serves to boost recruitment, aid ISIS fundraising, bolster its credibility in its competition with al Qaeda for leadership of the global jihadi movement, and Little said, "strike fear into the hearts of their enemies." (Trowbridge, A., 2014)


ISIS/ISIL has encouraged their followers to threaten the United States and its allies through social media outlets. “ISIS launched a social media campaign called a “Warning to the American People.” Official ISIS Twitter accounts encouraged followers to post threats against the U.S. on social media with the hashtag #CalamityWillBefallUS.” (“Hashtag Terror: How ISIS Manipulates Social Media,” 2014).  ISIS/ISIL have also issued various threats on American soil, “A number of the supporters have specifically directed the threat against New York City, posting images of Times Square and of the falling Twin Towers along with the message “The head of ISIS Sheikh Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi said: Our appointment in New York.”(“ISIS Renews Twitter Campaign Threatening U.S.,” 2014 )


ISIS/ISIL has a very efficient and beneficial PR campaign, especially through social media outlets. Although there are attempts to delete and block their various accounts, they are still promoting their ideals effectively. ISIS/ISIL have made threats, as well as encourage others to threaten, the United States.

 

Fact #2: Sen. McCain - “There is no comparison to Yemen and Somalia, there is no comparability between the threats there.” ("Sen. John McCain reacts...,"2014)

False – There is a very prominent comparison to the terror groups in Yemen and Somalia, and the terror group of ISIS/ISIL. Al-Shabab of Somalia and the AQAP (al-Qaeda of the Arabian Peninsula) are both terrorist affiliates of the powerful terrorist group al-Qaeda. “AQAP chief Nasir al-Wuhayshi is al Qaeda's No. 2 and has so far remained loyal to the terror network's leader, Ayman al-Zawahiri.”(Smith-Spark, L., 2015). “Al-Shabaab’s senior leaders are affiliated with al-Qa‘ida and are believed to have trained and fought in Afghanistan.”(“Terrorist Groups: Al-Shabab,” n.d.). This link to Al-Qaeda gives both of these terror organizations have a very creditable threat to the United States.

They have demonstrated that they can attack targets outside of their respected countries. “Al Shabaab has also shown the ability to attack hotels in Mogadishu. On Dec. 3, 2009, a suicide bomber dressed as a woman attacked a graduation ceremony in a hotel meeting room and killed some 20 people, including four government ministers. On Aug. 24, 2010, al Shabaab gunmen disguised as government security forces conducted an armed assault on a hotel near the presidential palace in Mogadishu that killed 30, including seven parliament members and two government officials. On Feb. 8, 2012, a suicide VBIED was rammed into a cafe outside the Muna Hotel, killing 11.”(Stewart, S., 2012). AQAP has constantly attacked the government of Yemen in order to dislodge the government and establish an Islamic caliphate. “AQAP has conducted a number of high-profile attacks inside Yemen targeting the Yemeni Government, including a complex, multistage attack in December 2013 against Yemen’s Ministry of Defense that killed at least 52 people, and in February 2014 the group freed over two dozen prisoners after attacking Sanaa’s central prison.”(“Terrorist Groups: Al-Qa'ida in The Arabian Peninsula (AQAP),”n.d.).

AQAP has released a video of the group’s leader Nasir al-Wahishi, making a verbal threat to the United States.  This is definitely not an empty threat. AQAP has demonstrated numerous times that they are capable of striking American soil. “AQAP has also attempted, unsuccessfully, to strike the U.S. homeland: Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab attempted to bomb a Detroit-bound jet on Christmas Day, 2009, but failed due to a technical malfunction; two attempts to down Chicago-bound cargo planes with bombs disguised as printer cartridges were intercepted in October 2010 based on Saudi intelligence; and a May 2012 attempted bombing of a U.S.-bound airliner was foiled by a double agent.”(Masters, J., & Laub, Z., 2013).

Both of these terrorist organizations have the capability to strike the United States and our western allies. They are a creditable threat to us, and they shouldn’t be taken as lightly as senator McCain does. They’ve been linked to al-Qaeda, one of the greatest threats to the United States in the modern age. Just as al-Qaeda wouldn’t be under estimated, these small terrorist organizations should be considered as much of a threat as any.

 


Fact #3: Sen. McCain - “Look, the President of the United States when he didn’t leave a withdrawal force behind lead to all of this.”  ("Sen. John McCain reacts...,"2014)

True – In 2010, President Obama changed the mission in Iraq from Operation Iraqi Freedom, predominately a military combat mission, to Operation New Dawn. Operation New Dawn outlined a reduction of U.S. Troops in Iraq and a transition to training the new Iraqi government’s military.

“During Operation New Dawn, the remaining 50,000 U.S. servicemembers serving in Iraq will conduct stability operations, focusing on advising, assisting and training Iraqi Security Forces (ISF). Operation New Dawn also represents a shift from a predominantly military U.S. presence to one that is predominantly civilian, as the Departments of Defense and State work together with governmental and non-governmental agencies to help build Iraq’s civil capacity.”(Operation New Dawn, n.d.).

President George Bush, and the Iraqi government had agreed to the US-Iraq Status of Forces Agreement, which established an end date for American involvement in Iraq. President Obama inherited this agreement and pledged to fulfill his obligation by the end of 2011.

“Good afternoon, everybody.  As a candidate for President, I pledged to bring the war in Iraq to a responsible end -- for the sake of our national security and to strengthen American leadership around the world.  After taking office, I announced a new strategy that would end our combat mission in Iraq and remove all of our troops by the end of 2011. (Office of the Press Secretary, 2011)

This withdrawal of U.S. troops allowed the rise of a Shi’ite dominated government led by Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki that then used sectarian policies to rule the diverse nation. The Shi’ite government persecuted many Sunni government officials which incited a public outrage.

“ISIS took advantage of the public outrage in Iraq against [Prime Minister] Maliki and his imprisonment of Sunnis. They launched what they called the "Breaking the Walls" campaign, which was a series of strikes against Iraqi prisons. A number of the prisoners joined ISIS, swelling its ranks. Against a backdrop of intense anger, ISIS infiltrated Anbar and convinced tribal leaders and Sunni protestors that they were the only group that could protect them from the Shia-dominated government. The resulting street battles in Fallujah between disenfranchised Sunnis and ISIS fighters pitted against the Shia-dominated military led to the city breaking away from government control. The fall of Mosul allowed ISIS to plunder an unprecedented amount of US military supplies, originally given to the Iraqi Security Forces. This weaponry allowed ISIS to continue fighting south along the Tigris River through other Sunni-dominated areas. ISIS's success in Syria and the lack of order in Iraq has allowed the group to depend on a flow of fighters and supplies between the two countries. ISIS' ability to operate with relative impunity in Syria, combined with the local anti-government discontent among Sunnis in Iraq, has allowed ISIS to take over and operate across the two countries in an area approximately the size of Belgium.” (Bender, J., 2014).

While this effect cannot be directly linked to the removal of a U.S. security and training force, the United States government did agree to sell American military weaponry to the Iraqi Defense Department. This American weaponry is now being used by ISIS to promote their cause, and combat the U.S. led coalition against ISIS. Had the U.S. security and training force remained in Iraq until a stable government was established, ISIS could not have taken root in Iraq.

Fact #4: “Now we face this ISIS which is larger than the state of Indiana.”
True – At the time of this speech in September of 2014, Isis had control of over 90,000 square Kilometers of land,
“90,000: The number of square kilometers ISIS is believed to control. The amount of territory held by ISIS changes by the day, said Clarke but it includes big swaths of north and northeast Syria to include major cities like Aleppo and Raqqa. ISIS also has a major presence around a critical border crossing between Syria and Iraq. In Iraq, ISIS's reach stretches to the northern and northwestern parts of country, but also goes as far down as Fallujah and west of Kirkuk.” (Gollom, 2014).
That is relatively similar to the size of the state of Indiana. Indiana is 94,321 square Kilometers.
 
 

 

 

Bibliography


Bender, J. (2014, October 30). How ISIS Became One Of The World's Most Dangerous Terrorist Groups. Retrieved February 24, 2015, from http://www.businessinsider.com/rise-of-isis-2014-10?op=1


Gollom, M. (2014, August 26). ISIS by the numbers: How big, strong and rich the militant organization may be. Retrieved February 23, 2015, from http://www.cbc.ca/news/world/isis-by-the-numbers-how-big-strong-and-rich-the-militant-organization-may-be-1.2746332
Hashtag Terror: How ISIS Manipulates Social Media. (2014, August 21). Retrieved February 23, 2015, from http://www.adl.org/combating-hate/international-extremism-terrorism/c/isis-islamic-state-social-media.html
ISIS Renews Twitter Campaign Threatening U.S. (2014, August 12). Retrieved February 23, 2015, from http://blog.adl.org/international/isis-renews-twitter-campaign-threatening-u-s

Masters, J., & Laub, Z. (2013, August 22). Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP). Retrieved February 23, 2015, from http://www.cfr.org/yemen/al-qaeda-arabian-peninsula-aqap/p9369

Operation New Dawn. (n.d.). Retrieved February 23, 2015, from http://www.usf-iraq.com/operation-new-dawn/

Office of the Press Secretary (2011, October 21). Remarks by the President on Ending the War in Iraq. Retrieved February 24, 2015, from http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2011/10/21/remarks-president-ending-war-iraq

Sen. John McCain reacts to President Obama's address [Video file]. (2014, September 10). Retrieved from http://video.foxnews.com/v/3778687817001/sen-john-mccain-reacts-to-president-obamas-address/?#sp=show-clips
Smith-Spark, L. (2015, January 14). AQAP: What is al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula? Retrieved
            February 23, 2015, from
            http://www.wptv.com/news/world/aqap-what-is-al-qaeda-in-the-arabian-peninsula

Stewart, S. (2012, April 26). Al Shabaab's Threat to Kenya. Retrieved February 23, 2015, from https://www.stratfor.com/weekly/al-shabaabs-threat-kenya

Terrorist Groups: Al-Qa'ida in The Arabian Pennisula (AQAP). (n.d.). Retrieved February 23, 2015, from http://www.nctc.gov/site/groups/aqap.html

Terrorist Groups: Al-Shabab. (n.d.). Retrieved February 23, 2015, from http://www.nctc.gov/site/groups/al_shabaab.html.

Trowbridge, A. (2014, June 16). Jihadists on the move in Iraq with weapons, hashtags. Retrieved February 23, 2015, from http://www.cbsnews.com/news/isis-jihadists-on-move-in-iraq-using-weapons-and-twitter-hashtags/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

What do you know the Jihadist terrorist group in Iraq and Syria as?